While some analysts believe Brexit has made the UK housing market porous. Others believe Brexit will pave way for a stronger housing market in coming years

The interaction between real estate and foreign policy is clear cut and this is more than proved by Brexit. As the March 2019 final Brexit negotiations approach, a precursor has been set, which might influence London's real estate market in coming years.

A recent report from international property firm, Knight Frank, puts London as the top favorite destination for global capital. This is due to the fact that London still presents liquidity and stability, factors attractive to investors.

Nick Braybrook, Knight Frank London's head of capital markets says ‘Despite the political turmoil surrounding the UK with Brexit, London is once again the most liquid real estate market in the world. It is more popular as a home for international investment than Paris Central, Manhattan, Munich, and Frankfurt combined,’.https://www.propertywire.com/news/global-news/londons-commercial-property-market-top-draw-international-buyers The influx of foreign investors particularly Asian buyers could be due to a weakened pound sterling, which has led to a slow growth in home prices.

According to an article by FT https://www.ft.com/content/87b1f284-1452-11e7-80f4-13e067d5072c "home prices have seen slow growth since the 2016 Brexit announcement. In May 2018, prices fell by 0.4% in London from an annual rate of 12% in 2016."

The pre-Brexit rise in home prices, which were growing at above 10 percent year over year before the EU referendum has given way to slower price growth. 2018 so far has seen a price growth of only 3% all over the UK. For millennials and London residents, the pre-Brexit rates had kept them on edge with staggering prices. Now the current fair price increases and a residential market that is more or less slow present better odds of landing favorable home deals.

Currently, London's economy is great. There is a low unemployment rate and inflation rates are down. Speculators, however, believe that the thriving economy will lead to higher interest rates soon. This means that first-time homebuyers would need to pay higher down payments on mortgages.

And even though foreign investment has decreased in most sectors, due to the uncertain climate surrounding BREXIT, real estate foreign activity is at its peak. Even the tax hikes introduced on foreign landlords, renting out their houses, hasn't diminished London's foreign real estate activity.

2019 will definitely be an interesting year for the UK's housing market, depending on the outcome of the final negotiations between the EU and the UK. However, an abrupt Brexit will do no one any good. Mark Carney, the governor of the bank of England has warned that a "disorderly" Brexit will lead to interest rate hikes which might greatly affect the property market.

According to FT, Theresa May’s government is actively seeking to avoid such a scenario. The prime minister has softened her position on Brexit in recent months and has agreed to a transition period that would maintain much of the status quo until at least 2021.

What changes do you think might take place before 2021? Leave your thought

Asian investors are the largest group snapping up foreign property according to research. But in which cities are they investing? And why?

As more people's attention is being drawn to real estate as an asset class, a larger number of people are seeking out foreign property. 2017 saw a large number of Asian investors enter the market sweeping up properties from the US to Canada straight to France. Recently, contrary to expectations, their attention is being drawn to residential and commercial properties in London, UK.

Propertywire's first quarter of 2018 stats https://www.propertywire.com/news/global-news/londons-commercial-property-market-top-draw-international-buyers/ reveal that overall about 5.6 billion pounds of foreign money was invested in London, with Asian investors contributing about 4.4 billion pounds or 65% of the total investments. The next highest was Hong Kong at 5 billion with Paris following from behind at 1.9 billion pounds.

If you're looking to invest in real estate, one of the major factors you would need to consider is liquidity. Based on liquidity, these are the top performing cities for cross-border real estate investing in 2018. This is indirectly influenced by population growth, employment growth and usually followed by an increase in home values or strong rental yield. 

•   New York, USA: Brooklyn and Manhattan are two of New York's favorite hot spots for foreign real estate investors. The activity of Chinese, Russian and Middle Eastern real estate investors, paying cash on high-end properties has consistently driven New York City’s real estate price upwards. With a population growth that hasn't slowed down, New York City real estate not only offers liquidity but stability for real estate investors.

•   London, UK: Despite Brexit, London leads the way as a favorite for foreign real estate capital. In the aftermath of Brexit, the attention to both London's commercial and residential real estate has been largely driven by a weaker pound and more affordable housing. Foreign real estate activity in London is largely funded by equity funds, institutional investments, and private capital. Units in the mid-range segments have been most popular among buyers. Presently, though, the government is setting tax constraints on foreign real estate investing as the cost of home ownership increases.

•    Hong Kong, China: In 2017, Hong Kong was named the "most luxurious" prime housing market for the second year running by Christie's real estate https://www.christiesrealestate.com/eng/sales/hkg . Hong Kong's housing market has shown little cooling with 4.4 billion pounds of foreign money spent by foreign investors in 2018 first quarter. The heated market in Hong Kong, as experts pinpointed, is a major reason for increased residential housing prices all through China.

•    Paris, France: The French economy is seeing a boom with the number of foreign investment activity reaching a 10 year high last year. The French economy exceeded expectations with a 2.2% growth, a large number of jobs created and strong real estate activity. Also with fairly stable mortgage rates, many investors are picking up properties in Paris and Bordeaux. Beyond 2018, analysts speculate the South of France will experience a strong housing demand.

•    Los Angeles, CA: Los Angeles may soon replace Hong Kong as the no 1 most expensive city for expats. Currently, the average price of a luxury property in Los Angeles is $2.5 million. With population growth, increasing disposable income and a thriving tech sector, Los Angeles real estate offer stability and liquidity for investors. However, housing is in short supply. A situation leading to soaring house prices. With population growth and a great economy, Los Angeles is a great option for single-family investors seeking high rental yield.

What’s the crucial thing when making an investment? Simple! Protect your investment. Whether you’re buying stocks or putting money down on real estate? Whether you are buying property abroad or locally? Whether you are buying overseas property for investment or just looking to relocate? You need to recognize that there are risks. Heck, buying property abroad is like running a hurdle. You’re crossing hurdles like investment restriction laws, taxation, paperwork, exchange rate changes etc. Real estate investing comes at a risk, especially when you are going into relatively uncharted territories. You need to ask yourself some crucial questions.

1.     WHY AM I BUYING THE PROPERTY?

Any decision you take subsequently will depend on this to an extent. Are you buying just to relocate or as an investor. You need to make up your mind. Your choice of mortgage, your budget and the type of insurance you go for would depend on this.

It’s easy to say I’ll move into the property for some time, get a feel of the place for a while then I’ll sell out when the market is steamy. Seems like a good strategy but guess what? Your guess may be wrong? You may have to stay with a property you don’t like for years or just bear the big loss. Hence you need to make up your mind beforehand. Am I relocating or investing?

2.     HOW WILL I GET FINANCING?

Financing is a big deal when it comes to buying property abroad. You can’t just carry cash around, you need to select a reputable bank in your destination to deal with. If mortgages are available by the destination bank, you need to ascertain what types of mortgages are available and what contingencies. In a case where a deposit is required by your seller, make sure that an ‘opt out clause’ is signed to make sure your deposit will be returned in case the mortgage falls through.

3.     SHOULD I BUY A NEW BUILD PROPERTY?

If you are buying a new construction or an off-plan property, be sure to choose the developer carefully. Ask a lot of questions. Initially, focus these questions on the agent or company itself, not the properties. Ask about customer testimonials and check what is included in their service. Ask for details in writing. You might be tempted to make a deposit on an attractive new-build property right away. Cool down and think before you leap.

4.     WHAT ABOUT RENTAL YIELDS?

Property specialists caution against getting sucked in by claims of developers. ‘There is huge capital growth’, ‘rental yields are off the roof’ etc.  Always remember: with big returns come big risks.

Don't just think about the profit to be made. Put some effort into your calculations and note that interest rates change over time, also include the tax implications of renting out your property abroad.  You should consult a tax expert or lawyer.

5.     WHAT WOULD BE THE ADDITIONAL COSTS?

Budget for extra costs to be between 8 - 10 % of the house value. This may often be far more in a few countries. Make sure you are, therefore, alert to the costs incurred for investing in a property in your selected country.

Whether you want to relocate abroad or create a global real estate investment portfolio, it's important to keep in mind that even the best strategies occasionally fall flat. You are going to therefore need an appropriate contingency plan and exit strategy, as this will lessen any inconvenience triggered and the prospect of financial loss. Hence, for those wanting to relocate, it is important to hold on to ties in your country of origin and ideally preserve a preexisting property for a predetermined time frame. Investors will also have to keep a keen eye on the global market and prevailing economic trends, as these factors may determine the necessity to sell or change strategy.