While some analysts believe Brexit has made the UK housing market porous. Others believe Brexit will pave way for a stronger housing market in coming years

The interaction between real estate and foreign policy is clear cut and this is more than proved by Brexit. As the March 2019 final Brexit negotiations approach, a precursor has been set, which might influence London's real estate market in coming years.

A recent report from international property firm, Knight Frank, puts London as the top favorite destination for global capital. This is due to the fact that London still presents liquidity and stability, factors attractive to investors.

Nick Braybrook, Knight Frank London's head of capital markets says ‘Despite the political turmoil surrounding the UK with Brexit, London is once again the most liquid real estate market in the world. It is more popular as a home for international investment than Paris Central, Manhattan, Munich, and Frankfurt combined,’.https://www.propertywire.com/news/global-news/londons-commercial-property-market-top-draw-international-buyers The influx of foreign investors particularly Asian buyers could be due to a weakened pound sterling, which has led to a slow growth in home prices.

According to an article by FT https://www.ft.com/content/87b1f284-1452-11e7-80f4-13e067d5072c "home prices have seen slow growth since the 2016 Brexit announcement. In May 2018, prices fell by 0.4% in London from an annual rate of 12% in 2016."

The pre-Brexit rise in home prices, which were growing at above 10 percent year over year before the EU referendum has given way to slower price growth. 2018 so far has seen a price growth of only 3% all over the UK. For millennials and London residents, the pre-Brexit rates had kept them on edge with staggering prices. Now the current fair price increases and a residential market that is more or less slow present better odds of landing favorable home deals.

Currently, London's economy is great. There is a low unemployment rate and inflation rates are down. Speculators, however, believe that the thriving economy will lead to higher interest rates soon. This means that first-time homebuyers would need to pay higher down payments on mortgages.

And even though foreign investment has decreased in most sectors, due to the uncertain climate surrounding BREXIT, real estate foreign activity is at its peak. Even the tax hikes introduced on foreign landlords, renting out their houses, hasn't diminished London's foreign real estate activity.

2019 will definitely be an interesting year for the UK's housing market, depending on the outcome of the final negotiations between the EU and the UK. However, an abrupt Brexit will do no one any good. Mark Carney, the governor of the bank of England has warned that a "disorderly" Brexit will lead to interest rate hikes which might greatly affect the property market.

According to FT, Theresa May’s government is actively seeking to avoid such a scenario. The prime minister has softened her position on Brexit in recent months and has agreed to a transition period that would maintain much of the status quo until at least 2021.

What changes do you think might take place before 2021? Leave your thought

Driven by affluence and a thriving tourism and travel industry, increasing number of people are looking overseas. According to a Knight Frank survey, between 1993 and 2003, overseas home ownership by British households rose by 95%. While the rewards of buying foreign luxury property can be great, the risks cannot be ignored. So, before you buy a luxury property Jim Gillespie, president and chief executive of Parsippany, a New Jersey based Coldwell Banker real estate firm advises that you should know the place in more than a passing fashion. "Take several trips to the area and rent a house instead of staying in a resort", he advises.

For majority of British who have invested in Europe's luxury properties a decade ago, it turns out they had made a wise move since the euro has increased in value. But currency does not always increase in value. Currencies can take a nose-dive, taking the value of properties with them; political ownership laws can change and the buying process can seem very complicated. Hence, more research is required for people who have set their sights on luxury property abroad. Impulse decisions in these cases can be disastrous. So whether you're buying overseas luxury real estate to live in, diversify your investment or generate rental income, here are some important questions to ask.

Questions to ask when buying luxury real estate abroad

1. How much risk can I take? Putting money on a new luxury property overseas is risky. You alone know your tolerance for risk, your motivation to buy and your preferences. You might have researched the location and the house and known what needs to be known. But you should also look inward to determine your level of readiness. The decision to buy or not buy that luxury real estate might just be dependent on your gut feeling.

2. Why am I buying? The answer to this question usually determines your other considerations. If you're buying for personal use in retirement, you definitely have different priorities. One such thing might be waking up to a view of the sea from your bedroom window. An investor wouldn't care less about the views. If you're looking for rental profit, your priority would likely be price.

3. What's my budget? Now let's talk about price. The most practical advice you can get when buying real estate overseas is: be clear on how much you want to spend and don't consider properties outside your price point. Or you may, if you feel it won't really hurt your pocket. Having a budget and sticking to it, you won't waste time meandering aimlessly.

4. How far is my property to amenities? You don't want to drive long distances to shops, medical centers and eateries. Millennials might also need to consider the nightlife. Families will need to consider proximity to schools and the grade of schools around. You need to familiarize with locals and get as much information about the area and the city. Don't neglect to look at transport and traffic patterns. You might think it's the norm to have good transport. You will be surprised to find that some areas might be hard to access because of bad roads.

Everyone likes the idea of living in their own overseas luxury real estate. This would probably give a great retirement. But before you take the plunge, make sure you're ready.

I’ve always been intrigued by the way surfers ride across the waves. The surfer waits long for a little sign, puts his gear in motion, gets into position near the peak and glides through with a small wave, trying to catch the big wave before it breaks. It’s a really risky game, requires a lot of patience. But he trusts his calculations, stays perpendicular to the upcoming waves and there he goes, riding the wave. Successful real estate investors have learnt to move like the surfer.

They have figured out that the best investment strategy as a real estate investor is to simply be on the lookout. That is, open your ears and eyes to the possibilities available to you. A lot of real estate investors built their real estate empires by being informed and proactive when they spotted opportunities. How do you adopt this same strategy and generate wealth by spotting hot real estate markets?

Yea, it’s true. Too much information may be disadvantageous in some cases. All you need may be a stroke of intuition. Alas some real estate investors fall into the trap of making ‘educated guesses’ and filling their heads with too much details. Eventually, what could appear to be a ‘hot property’ ends out being a deal turned sour. Looks may be deceiving. But you need to look at the obvious signs and trust your instinct at the same time to ride the big wave of global property investing.

IDENTIFYING AREAS OF GROWTH

1. Gentrification.

These areas may have had poor reputation in the past, but now they are seeing homeowners moving in and changing the suburban landscape. Are there a number of renovation and improvement projects going on? Are new homes being built? Which means developers are turning their focus to that area. Are new cafes or retailers opening up? Most importantly, compare house pricing for a period of 2-3 years, if prices have grown steadily, look at the demographics. An increasing number of young residents with decent incomes is a strong indication that a suburb is about to gentrify.

2. Look for the ripple effect.

If you cannot afford to buy in a hot real estate market (you may have missed the mark this time), you may still be able to shop in the area by checking the surrounding suburbs. This takes time, so you need to know what phase, the local real estate market cycle is in. This will help maximize your chances of riding the wave of growth. How to analyze real estate market cycles.

3. Examine supply and demand

The relationship between supply and demand for property in an area is a key factor in price growth. If there is no more capacity to build in the suburb, but demand continues to grow, prices are likely to rise.

TIPS FOR FINDING HIGH DEMAND AND LOW SUPPLY AREAS.

·        Look for areas where rental performance is increasing. This indicates that an area is popular with tenants. When tenants become owners, they also tend to buy in the same area they are renting;

·        Look at the demographics of people moving in the area. For instance, suburbs where median age is around 35 or so tend to gentrify faster as these demographics tend to have better incomes and can thus afford to buy or rent more expensive properties;

·        Look for areas with increasing population. The population itself is not enough to boost prices, but when combined with other indicators such as increased incomes and low supply, this is a good indication that real estate prices will grow in the area.

·        Look for large ongoing infrastructure projects. This is a good indicator that the area is likely to see an increase in demand for housing as workers gather in search of employment. Projects that have already begun are preferable, as project pledges can fall through with changes in government and as budget priorities change.

Yes, you can be the one sitting on the next hot property. All it takes is a little knowledge, research and intuition.