2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

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If you're in the market to buy or sell a home in 2023, you may be wondering what the forecast is for the housing market. With predictions of a housing market correction on the horizon, it's important to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

In this article, we'll dive into the 2023 housing market correction: forecast for the rest of the year. From what's causing the correction to how it will impact buyers and sellers, we've got you covered.

Introduction

The housing market has been booming for the past few years, with low interest rates and a high demand for homes driving up prices. However, experts are predicting that the market will experience a correction in 2023, which could have significant impacts on the real estate industry.

2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

The housing market correction in 2023 is expected to be driven by a combination of factors, including rising interest rates and an oversupply of housing inventory. As interest rates rise, it will become more expensive for buyers to take out mortgages, which could lead to a decrease in demand for homes.

Additionally, there has been a surplus of housing inventory in certain markets, which could lead to a decrease in home values as sellers compete to sell their properties. This oversupply of inventory could be attributed to a combination of factors, including a decrease in immigration and an increase in new home construction.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to lead to a decrease in home values and a decrease in demand for homes, which could impact both buyers and sellers.

How the Housing Market Correction Will Impact Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home prices and less competition. As home values decrease, it may become more affordable for buyers to purchase a home, and there may be fewer bidding wars and multiple offers.

However, buyers may also face higher interest rates, which could make it more expensive to take out a mortgage. This could impact the overall affordability of buying a home, and buyers may need to adjust their budgets accordingly.

For sellers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home values and an oversupply of inventory. This could make it more difficult to sell a home, as sellers may need to compete with other properties on the market. However, sellers may also benefit from lower interest rates, which could make it more attractive for buyers to take out a mortgage.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to impact both buyers and sellers, and it's important for both parties to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

Top 10 Housing Market Trends for 2023

While the 2023 housing market correction is expected to have a significant impact on the industry, there are other trends and predictions to keep an eye on. Here are the top 10 housing market trends for 2023:

  1. Interest rates will continue to rise, impacting affordability for buyers.
  2. The oversupply of housing inventory will continue in certain markets.
  3. Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.
  4. The demand for single-family homes will continue to increase.
  5. The rental market will remain strong, with high demand and low vacancy rates.
  6. Technology will play a larger role in the real estate industry, with more online tools and virtual tours.
  7. Sustainable and energy-efficient homes will become more popular among buyers.
  8. Cities with lower cost of living and job opportunities will see an increase in population growth.
  9. Luxury home sales will remain strong, with high demand from wealthy buyers.
  10. The real estate industry will continue to face challenges with affordability and accessibility.

ALSO READ: Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.

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How to Successfully Buy Overseas Preconstruction Homes

  • 27, July 2023

This article explores the advantages of buying preconstruction homes overseas, the risks involved and some precautions to take.

The Advantages of Buying Preconstruction Homes

Buying preconstruction homes definitely offer great advantages. First you get to CHOOSE! You don't just settle for any kind of property; you can select design features and specifications. You can actually be involved in the design of your new investment. If you're a property specialist, you will be able to tweak some features and make the home desirable to prospective tenants.

Also, these kinds of properties offer the best deals. You get the lowest deals on pre-construction homes within the first two weeks of the project's launching. Buying a preconstruction home also means that you don't have to worry about repairs and maintenance. You may not have to perform renovation on a new home for the next five years.

Buying Preconstruction Homes Overseas Is Risky

Just as they offer great rewards, buying pre-construction real estate overseas can quickly turn out to be a sour deal. Hence these investments require foresight, research and an ability to think and make deductions like an investor rather than the average buyer. You should be able to determine where the neighborhood is heading in the near future and also make a comparison of project options within your budget constraints.

The biggest risk behind pre-construction houses is that it's a non-liquid investment. For the period in which the property is being built, which can be two to four years, in the case of condo units, you freeze up a large chunk of capital. Although you might have access to visual representations or projections, you're practically buying an invisible property. You've not seen the finishes or the outward finishes.

These properties also require more down-payment requirements than their resale counterparts and you can't touch your cash or pull out should you need your money. So, it is a risky proposition. How do you protect your investment in this case?

Rules To Follow When Buying Preconstruction Homes Overseas

1. Never pay the full price upfront on a pre-construction property. It's standard to pay 30% of the cost during construction and the rest on completion. You should pay the balance when the property is move-in ready and when you can transfer the title to your name.

2. Check the specification. Do not leave this to the developer. The more detail you add to your contract, the more likely you are to get what you expect. Detail all. Start with the exact size of the home, broken down by rooms and hallways, patios, balconies and storage space.

3. Time. Get a clear deadline for the completion and delivery of the property. Most developers do not finish as scheduled. But do not allow the developer to add a 12-month overload period and go scot-free. He should have to pay a fine if he’s unreasonably late.

4. Make sure you are covered if something goes wrong. The contract should give you a decent time frame for snag-checking, and outline what type of builder's warranty you get. Be sure to include a clause that covers what kind of steps you will take if you cannot resolve a problem with the developer, be it mediation with a trade body, arbitration or a lawsuit. In some countries, if the developer doesn’t complete the property, you will get some of your money. That is not the norm, though.

Buying pre-construction property can be very profitable when you’re in the right market. These rules will help put you on the right track for a successful purchase.

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How to Spot Hot Real Estate Markets

  • 13, May 2023

I’ve always been intrigued by the way surfers ride across the waves. The surfer waits long for a little sign, puts his gear in motion, gets into position near the peak and glides through with a small wave, trying to catch the big wave before it breaks. It’s a really risky game, requires a lot of patience. But he trusts his calculations, stays perpendicular to the upcoming waves and there he goes, riding the wave. Successful real estate investors have learnt to move like the surfer.

They have figured out that the best investment strategy as a real estate investor is to simply be on the lookout. That is, open your ears and eyes to the possibilities available to you. A lot of real estate investors built their real estate empires by being informed and proactive when they spotted opportunities. How do you adopt this same strategy and generate wealth by spotting hot real estate markets?

Yea, it’s true. Too much information may be disadvantageous in some cases. All you need may be a stroke of intuition. Alas some real estate investors fall into the trap of making ‘educated guesses’ and filling their heads with too much details. Eventually, what could appear to be a ‘hot property’ ends out being a deal turned sour. Looks may be deceiving. But you need to look at the obvious signs and trust your instinct at the same time to ride the big wave of global property investing.

IDENTIFYING AREAS OF GROWTH

1. Gentrification.

These areas may have had poor reputation in the past, but now they are seeing homeowners moving in and changing the suburban landscape. Are there a number of renovation and improvement projects going on? Are new homes being built? Which means developers are turning their focus to that area. Are new cafes or retailers opening up? Most importantly, compare house pricing for a period of 2-3 years, if prices have grown steadily, look at the demographics. An increasing number of young residents with decent incomes is a strong indication that a suburb is about to gentrify.

2. Look for the ripple effect.

If you cannot afford to buy in a hot real estate market (you may have missed the mark this time), you may still be able to shop in the area by checking the surrounding suburbs. This takes time, so you need to know what phase, the local real estate market cycle is in. This will help maximize your chances of riding the wave of growth. How to analyze real estate market cycles.

3. Examine supply and demand

The relationship between supply and demand for property in an area is a key factor in price growth. If there is no more capacity to build in the suburb, but demand continues to grow, prices are likely to rise.

TIPS FOR FINDING HIGH DEMAND AND LOW SUPPLY AREAS.

·        Look for areas where rental performance is increasing. This indicates that an area is popular with tenants. When tenants become owners, they also tend to buy in the same area they are renting;

·        Look at the demographics of people moving in the area. For instance, suburbs where median age is around 35 or so tend to gentrify faster as these demographics tend to have better incomes and can thus afford to buy or rent more expensive properties;

·        Look for areas with increasing population. The population itself is not enough to boost prices, but when combined with other indicators such as increased incomes and low supply, this is a good indication that real estate prices will grow in the area.

·        Look for large ongoing infrastructure projects. This is a good indicator that the area is likely to see an increase in demand for housing as workers gather in search of employment. Projects that have already begun are preferable, as project pledges can fall through with changes in government and as budget priorities change.

Yes, you can be the one sitting on the next hot property. All it takes is a little knowledge, research and intuition.

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5 signs youre cash flow negative on your vacation rental property

  • 17, October 2023

Spending money consistently on a cash flow negative rental isn't smart. It might be time to change your strategy.

 

Vacation rentals are a great way to make extra income from your property investments. Short term rental provider, HomeAway https://www.homeaway.com/info/getting-started/income reports that the run-of-the-mill vacation rental property owner nets $11,000 a year.

 

But if you consistently have to spend rental profits on roof repairs, vacancies, regular maintenance, bad tenants etc, you probably have a cash flow negative property on your hand. And there are two approaches to dealing with this problem. You can either wait it out and hope things will somehow change or kickstart an exit strategy to move on.

 

While cash flow doesn't have to be a decisive factor, especially when you have a vacation rental property in an up and coming neighborhood with strong potential appreciation rates. Many times, you might be spending more than you bargained for with your rental. And the faster you discover this, the better.

 

This article outlines five signs of negative cash flow vacation rentals but before we proceed let's see a simple formula for measuring cash flow on an investment property:

 

Cash Flow = Total Income (Application fees, Rent, etc.) - Total Expenses (Monthly mortgage (if applicable); General Maintenance, Electricity, HOA, Property Management, vacancies etc.)

 

As a rule of thumb when buying an investment property, it is wise to set aside an emergency fund to cover at least first six months of expenses. So let's dive right in and see some of the signs to watch for.

 

1. High vacancy/Low occupancy rate in a location: What's the occupancy rate for your neighborhood? An important sign of a cash flow negative property is high vacancy rate in the neighborhood. According to Turnkey VR https://blog.turnkeyvr.com/much-money-can-make-vacation-rental/ specializing in the management of turnkey vacation rental homes, "Occupancy rates for vacation rentals can be all over the map. For instance, a vacation rental home in a big city might create more demand than a rental property at a seasonal location like the beach". Location is key when buying real estate, especially for investment. Hence it's wise to spend time researching a neighborhood before taking the plunge.

 

2. High Maintenance property: Are you doling out high monthly fees for property maintenance? Then you might be dealing with a cash flow negative property. A 30-year-old property might offer a great deal but when you have to spend considerable time and money on maintenance and fixes monthly, you have to ask yourself if it's worth it.

 

3. Declining Rental Property Market: How strong is the rental property market? There is a strong correlation between a thriving property market and low vacancy rates. Many times a declining rental market is a sign of underlying economic issues, most times accompanied by high unemployment rates and slow growth. Sticking around in such a neighborhood would be unwise. Unless you're confident about a significant development in the neighborhood in coming years.

 

4. High Property Taxes: Did property taxes go up? Taxes can get tricky, especially when you're buying as a foreigner. However, when sudden tax changes are eating up your income, then you have a negative cash flow property.

 

5. Problem Tenants: Are problem tenants eating up your profits? You have two options, regarding managing your rental property. You can either hire a property management company, which means more expenses but better management. Or you can just ride it solo. While this offers you the chance to take an active role with your property, dealing with problem tenants (tenants who break things, tenants refusing to pay rent or pay promptly, tenants causing disturbance etc.) is a major headache and can eat into your profits.

 

Hence the importance of having a screening process that's hard to bypass. However, if you deal with problem tenants a lot, it might be time to consider setting an exit strategy in motion.

 

You can take advantage of short-term rental cash flow with sites like HomeAway and AirBnb. While tenant turnover rates can be high in the short term, short term rentals can be profitable, especially in a popular destination such as a ski resort or beach community.

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