While some analysts believe Brexit has made the UK housing market porous. Others believe Brexit will pave way for a stronger housing market in coming years

The interaction between real estate and foreign policy is clear cut and this is more than proved by Brexit. As the March 2019 final Brexit negotiations approach, a precursor has been set, which might influence London's real estate market in coming years.

A recent report from international property firm, Knight Frank, puts London as the top favorite destination for global capital. This is due to the fact that London still presents liquidity and stability, factors attractive to investors.

Nick Braybrook, Knight Frank London's head of capital markets says ‘Despite the political turmoil surrounding the UK with Brexit, London is once again the most liquid real estate market in the world. It is more popular as a home for international investment than Paris Central, Manhattan, Munich, and Frankfurt combined,’.https://www.propertywire.com/news/global-news/londons-commercial-property-market-top-draw-international-buyers The influx of foreign investors particularly Asian buyers could be due to a weakened pound sterling, which has led to a slow growth in home prices.

According to an article by FT https://www.ft.com/content/87b1f284-1452-11e7-80f4-13e067d5072c "home prices have seen slow growth since the 2016 Brexit announcement. In May 2018, prices fell by 0.4% in London from an annual rate of 12% in 2016."

The pre-Brexit rise in home prices, which were growing at above 10 percent year over year before the EU referendum has given way to slower price growth. 2018 so far has seen a price growth of only 3% all over the UK. For millennials and London residents, the pre-Brexit rates had kept them on edge with staggering prices. Now the current fair price increases and a residential market that is more or less slow present better odds of landing favorable home deals.

Currently, London's economy is great. There is a low unemployment rate and inflation rates are down. Speculators, however, believe that the thriving economy will lead to higher interest rates soon. This means that first-time homebuyers would need to pay higher down payments on mortgages.

And even though foreign investment has decreased in most sectors, due to the uncertain climate surrounding BREXIT, real estate foreign activity is at its peak. Even the tax hikes introduced on foreign landlords, renting out their houses, hasn't diminished London's foreign real estate activity.

2019 will definitely be an interesting year for the UK's housing market, depending on the outcome of the final negotiations between the EU and the UK. However, an abrupt Brexit will do no one any good. Mark Carney, the governor of the bank of England has warned that a "disorderly" Brexit will lead to interest rate hikes which might greatly affect the property market.

According to FT, Theresa May’s government is actively seeking to avoid such a scenario. The prime minister has softened her position on Brexit in recent months and has agreed to a transition period that would maintain much of the status quo until at least 2021.

What changes do you think might take place before 2021? Leave your thought

Spending money consistently on a cash flow negative rental isn't smart. It might be time to change your strategy.

Vacation rentals are a great way to make extra income from your property investments. Short term rental provider, HomeAway https://www.homeaway.com/info/getting-started/income reports that the run-of-the-mill vacation rental property owner nets $11,000 a year.

But if you consistently have to spend rental profits on roof repairs, vacancies, regular maintenance, bad tenants etc, you probably have a cash flow negative property on your hand. And there are two approaches to dealing with this problem. You can either wait it out and hope things will somehow change or kickstart an exit strategy to move on.

While cash flow doesn't have to be a decisive factor, especially when you have a vacation rental property in an up and coming neighborhood with strong potential appreciation rates. Many times, you might be spending more than you bargained for with your rental. And the faster you discover this, the better.

This article outlines five signs of negative cash flow vacation rentals but before we proceed let's see a simple formula for measuring cash flow on an investment property:

Cash Flow = Total Income (Application fees, Rent, etc.) - Total Expenses (Monthly mortgage (if applicable); General Maintenance, Electricity, HOA, Property Management, vacancies etc.)

As a rule of thumb when buying an investment property, it is wise to set aside an emergency fund to cover at least first six months of expenses. So let's dive right in and see some of the signs to watch for.

1. High vacancy/Low occupancy rate in a location: What's the occupancy rate for your neighborhood? An important sign of a cash flow negative property is high vacancy rate in the neighborhood. According to Turnkey VR https://blog.turnkeyvr.com/much-money-can-make-vacation-rental/ specializing in the management of turnkey vacation rental homes, "Occupancy rates for vacation rentals can be all over the map. For instance, a vacation rental home in a big city might create more demand than a rental property at a seasonal location like the beach". Location is key when buying real estate, especially for investment. Hence it's wise to spend time researching a neighborhood before taking the plunge.

2. High Maintenance property: Are you doling out high monthly fees for property maintenance? Then you might be dealing with a cash flow negative property. A 30-year-old property might offer a great deal but when you have to spend considerable time and money on maintenance and fixes monthly, you have to ask yourself if it's worth it.

3. Declining Rental Property Market: How strong is the rental property market? There is a strong correlation between a thriving property market and low vacancy rates. Many times a declining rental market is a sign of underlying economic issues, most times accompanied by high unemployment rates and slow growth. Sticking around in such a neighborhood would be unwise. Unless you're confident about a significant development in the neighborhood in coming years.

4. High Property Taxes: Did property taxes go up? Taxes can get tricky, especially when you're buying as a foreigner. However, when sudden tax changes are eating up your income, then you have a negative cash flow property.

5. Problem Tenants: Are problem tenants eating up your profits? You have two options, regarding managing your rental property. You can either hire a property management company, which means more expenses but better management. Or you can just ride it solo. While this offers you the chance to take an active role with your property, dealing with problem tenants (tenants who break things, tenants refusing to pay rent or pay promptly, tenants causing disturbance etc.) is a major headache and can eat into your profits.

Hence the importance of having a screening process that's hard to bypass. However, if you deal with problem tenants a lot, it might be time to consider setting an exit strategy in motion.

You can take advantage of short-term rental cash flow with sites like HomeAway and AirBnb. While tenant turnover rates can be high in the short term, short term rentals can be profitable, especially in a popular destination such as a ski resort or beach community.

As we move into 2024 and 2025, the housing market is likely to see some significant changes. After a tumultuous couple of years, there is some optimism about the future of the housing market. However, there are also concerns about rising interest rates, inflation, and a potential housing bubble. In this article, we will take a closer look at the Housing Market Forecast 2024 & 2025 and make some predictions about what we can expect over the next five years.

Introduction

The housing market has been on a wild ride over the past few years. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a sudden and severe downturn in the market. However, the housing market has rebounded strongly in 2021, with record-high prices and a surge in demand for homes. With the economy showing signs of recovery and interest rates at historic lows, many experts believe that the housing market will continue to grow in the coming years.

Housing Market Forecast 2024 & 2025: Predictions for Next 5 Years

Increased demand for affordable housing

One of the biggest trends in the housing market over the next five years is likely to be an increased demand for affordable housing. With home prices at all-time highs and many people struggling to afford homes, there is a growing need for more affordable options. This could lead to an increase in the construction of smaller, more affordable homes, as well as a rise in the popularity of alternative housing options like tiny homes and mobile homes.

Continued growth in suburban areas

Another trend that is likely to continue over the next five years is the growth of suburban areas. Many people are looking to move out of crowded cities and into quieter, more spacious areas. This has led to a surge in demand for homes in suburban areas, and this trend is likely to continue in the coming years.

Rising interest rates

One concern for the housing market over the next five years is rising interest rates. While interest rates are currently at historic lows, they are expected to rise in the coming years as the economy recovers. This could lead to a slowdown in the housing market and make it more difficult for some people to afford homes.

Potential housing bubble

Another concern for the housing market is the possibility of a housing bubble. With home prices at record highs and demand outstripping supply, some experts are worried that the market may be overinflated. If this is the case, a correction could be on the horizon, which could lead to a significant downturn in the housing market.

Increased focus on sustainability

As concerns about climate change grow, there is likely to be an increased focus on sustainability in the housing market. This could lead to an increase in the construction of eco-friendly homes and the retrofitting of existing homes to make them more sustainable. Additionally, there may be an increase in the popularity of alternative housing options like tiny homes and shipping container homes, which are often designed with sustainability in mind.

Growing popularity of smart homes

Smart home technology has been growing in popularity in recent years, and this trend is likely to continue over the next five years. With the rise of the Internet of Things (IoT) and the increasing availability of smart home devices, more and more people are expected to embrace this technology in their homes.

FAQs

What will happen to home prices over the next five years?

It's difficult to predict exactly what will happen to home prices over the next five years. However, many experts believe that prices will continue to rise, although at a slower pace than we have seen in recent years. Rising interest rates and concerns about a housing bubble could lead to a slowdown in the market