Whats the impact of Brexit on London real estate?

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While some analysts believe Brexit has made the UK housing market porous. Others believe Brexit will pave way for a stronger housing market in coming years

 

The interaction between real estate and foreign policy is clear cut and this is more than proved by Brexit. As the March 2019 final Brexit negotiations approach, a precursor has been set, which might influence London's real estate market in coming years.

 

A recent report from international property firm, Knight Frank, puts London as the top favorite destination for global capital. This is due to the fact that London still presents liquidity and stability, factors attractive to investors.

 

Nick Braybrook, Knight Frank London's head of capital markets says ‘Despite the political turmoil surrounding the UK with Brexit, London is once again the most liquid real estate market in the world. It is more popular as a home for international investment than Paris Central, Manhattan, Munich, and Frankfurt combined,’.https://www.propertywire.com/news/global-news/londons-commercial-property-market-top-draw-international-buyers The influx of foreign investors particularly Asian buyers could be due to a weakened pound sterling, which has led to a slow growth in home prices.

 

According to an article by FT https://www.ft.com/content/87b1f284-1452-11e7-80f4-13e067d5072c "home prices have seen slow growth since the 2016 Brexit announcement. In May 2018, prices fell by 0.4% in London from an annual rate of 12% in 2016."

 

The pre-Brexit rise in home prices, which were growing at above 10 percent year over year before the EU referendum has given way to slower price growth. 2018 so far has seen a price growth of only 3% all over the UK. For millennials and London residents, the pre-Brexit rates had kept them on edge with staggering prices. Now the current fair price increases and a residential market that is more or less slow present better odds of landing favorable home deals.

 

Currently, London's economy is great. There is a low unemployment rate and inflation rates are down. Speculators, however, believe that the thriving economy will lead to higher interest rates soon. This means that first-time homebuyers would need to pay higher down payments on mortgages.

 

And even though foreign investment has decreased in most sectors, due to the uncertain climate surrounding BREXIT, real estate foreign activity is at its peak. Even the tax hikes introduced on foreign landlords, renting out their houses, hasn't diminished London's foreign real estate activity.

 

2019 will definitely be an interesting year for the UK's housing market, depending on the outcome of the final negotiations between the EU and the UK. However, an abrupt Brexit will do no one any good. Mark Carney, the governor of the bank of England has warned that a "disorderly" Brexit will lead to interest rate hikes which might greatly affect the property market.

 

According to FT, Theresa May’s government is actively seeking to avoid such a scenario. The prime minister has softened her position on Brexit in recent months and has agreed to a transition period that would maintain much of the status quo until at least 2021.

 

What changes do you think might take place before 2021? Leave your thought

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2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

  • 09, January 2024

If you're in the market to buy or sell a home in 2023, you may be wondering what the forecast is for the housing market. With predictions of a housing market correction on the horizon, it's important to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

In this article, we'll dive into the 2023 housing market correction: forecast for the rest of the year. From what's causing the correction to how it will impact buyers and sellers, we've got you covered.

Introduction

The housing market has been booming for the past few years, with low interest rates and a high demand for homes driving up prices. However, experts are predicting that the market will experience a correction in 2023, which could have significant impacts on the real estate industry.

2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

The housing market correction in 2023 is expected to be driven by a combination of factors, including rising interest rates and an oversupply of housing inventory. As interest rates rise, it will become more expensive for buyers to take out mortgages, which could lead to a decrease in demand for homes.

Additionally, there has been a surplus of housing inventory in certain markets, which could lead to a decrease in home values as sellers compete to sell their properties. This oversupply of inventory could be attributed to a combination of factors, including a decrease in immigration and an increase in new home construction.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to lead to a decrease in home values and a decrease in demand for homes, which could impact both buyers and sellers.

How the Housing Market Correction Will Impact Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home prices and less competition. As home values decrease, it may become more affordable for buyers to purchase a home, and there may be fewer bidding wars and multiple offers.

However, buyers may also face higher interest rates, which could make it more expensive to take out a mortgage. This could impact the overall affordability of buying a home, and buyers may need to adjust their budgets accordingly.

For sellers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home values and an oversupply of inventory. This could make it more difficult to sell a home, as sellers may need to compete with other properties on the market. However, sellers may also benefit from lower interest rates, which could make it more attractive for buyers to take out a mortgage.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to impact both buyers and sellers, and it's important for both parties to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

Top 10 Housing Market Trends for 2023

While the 2023 housing market correction is expected to have a significant impact on the industry, there are other trends and predictions to keep an eye on. Here are the top 10 housing market trends for 2023:

  1. Interest rates will continue to rise, impacting affordability for buyers.
  2. The oversupply of housing inventory will continue in certain markets.
  3. Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.
  4. The demand for single-family homes will continue to increase.
  5. The rental market will remain strong, with high demand and low vacancy rates.
  6. Technology will play a larger role in the real estate industry, with more online tools and virtual tours.
  7. Sustainable and energy-efficient homes will become more popular among buyers.
  8. Cities with lower cost of living and job opportunities will see an increase in population growth.
  9. Luxury home sales will remain strong, with high demand from wealthy buyers.
  10. The real estate industry will continue to face challenges with affordability and accessibility.

ALSO READ: Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.

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Global Real Estate Market Report 2023: Comprehensive Analysis and Forecasts

  • 30, January 2023

The global real estate market is a dynamic and ever-evolving industry that plays a crucial role in the global economy. As we look ahead to 2023, it is essential to gain a comprehensive understanding of the current state of the real estate market and make informed projections for the future. This article delves into the intricacies of the global real estate market, providing a detailed analysis and forecasts for the year 2023.

Introduction

The global real estate market has always been a significant contributor to economic growth and development. In recent years, it has witnessed remarkable transformations driven by various factors such as economic trends, demographic shifts, technological advancements, and environmental concerns. The year 2023 presents an exciting landscape for the real estate market, characterized by new opportunities, challenges, and trends that shape the industry.

Factors Influencing the Global Real Estate Market

The global real estate market is influenced by several key factors that impact its performance and growth potential. These factors include:

Economic Conditions

Economic conditions, such as GDP growth rates, interest rates, inflation, and employment levels, significantly impact the real estate market. A robust economy fosters demand for both residential and commercial properties, attracting investors and driving market expansion.

Economic Conditions

Demographic Trends

Demographic factors, such as population growth, urbanization, and changing household structures, have a profound impact on the real estate market. Understanding the preferences and needs of different demographic groups helps shape investment strategies and market offerings.

Technological Advancements

Technological advancements have revolutionized the real estate industry, leading to improved construction techniques, smart homes, virtual property tours, and digital marketing platforms. Embracing technology is crucial for real estate companies to stay competitive and meet evolving consumer expectations.

Environmental Considerations

Increasing environmental awareness has influenced the real estate market, with sustainability and energy efficiency becoming key priorities. Green buildings, eco-friendly practices, and renewable energy integration are gaining prominence, providing opportunities for innovation and investment.

Government Policies and Regulations

Government policies and regulations play a vital role in shaping the real estate market. Policies related to taxation, land use, zoning, and urban planning influence property prices, market liquidity, and investment attractiveness.

Regional Analysis

The global real estate market exhibits significant regional variations in terms of market dynamics, trends, and investment opportunities. Let's explore the key regions and their characteristics:

North America

North America boasts a mature real estate market, with the United States and Canada leading the way. The region offers stable economic conditions, diverse investment opportunities, and a well-developed infrastructure. The residential sector remains strong, driven by population growth and urbanization trends.

North America Real Estate

Europe

Europe's real estate market is characterized by its diversity, with variations in economic conditions, regulations, and cultural factors across countries. Urban centers like London, Paris, and Berlin offer prime investment opportunities, while emerging markets in Eastern Europe show great growth potential.

Asia-Pacific

The Asia-Pacific region is witnessing rapid urbanization and economic growth, driving demand for real estate. China, India, and Japan are the key players in this market, offering vast investment potential in both residential and commercial sectors.

Asia-Pacific Real Estate

Latin America

Latin America presents a mixed real estate landscape, with countries like Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina showcasing diverse opportunities. Emerging middle-class populations, urbanization trends, and favorable government policies contribute to the growth of the real estate market in the region.

Middle East and Africa

The Middle East and Africa region exhibit varying real estate markets, with countries like the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa standing out. Rapid urban development, infrastructure projects, and increasing foreign investments shape the market dynamics in these countries.

Market Segmentation

The global real estate market can be broadly segmented into several categories based on property types and usage. Let's explore these segments:

Residential Real Estate

Residential real estate encompasses properties intended for personal use, including houses, apartments, condominiums, and townhouses. Factors such as population growth, urbanization, and lifestyle preferences influence the demand for residential properties.

Residential Real Estate

Commercial Real Estate

Commercial real estate refers to properties used for business purposes, such as office buildings, retail spaces, and industrial parks. Economic conditions, business expansion, and consumer trends impact the demand and profitability of commercial properties.

Industrial Real Estate

Industrial real estate includes properties used for manufacturing, warehousing, and distribution purposes. The rise of e-commerce and global supply chains has increased the demand for industrial spaces, particularly in logistics hubs and key transportation corridors.

Hospitality and Tourism Real Estate

Hospitality and tourism real estate comprises properties such as hotels, resorts, vacation rentals, and hospitality infrastructure. Global travel trends, tourist arrivals, and destination popularity influence the growth and profitability of this sector.

Emerging Trends and Technologies

The global real estate market is experiencing several emerging trends and technologies that are reshaping the industry. These include:

PropTech

PropTech, or property technology, refers to the use of technology and innovation to enhance efficiency, transparency, and convenience in the real estate sector. PropTech solutions include virtual reality tours, blockchain-based property transactions, and smart home automation systems.

PropTech

Co-living and Co-working Spaces

The rising popularity of co-living and co-working spaces is transforming the way people live and work. These shared spaces provide flexibility, cost-effectiveness, and community-oriented environments that cater to the evolving needs of modern professionals.

Sustainable and Green Buildings

Sustainability has become a significant focus in the real estate industry. Green buildings, energy-efficient designs, and eco-friendly practices not only reduce environmental impact but also provide long-term cost savings and enhance property values.

Investment Opportunities

The global real estate market offers a multitude of investment opportunities for individuals and institutions seeking to diversify their portfolios. Some key investment avenues include:

Residential Properties in Emerging Markets

Investing in residential properties in emerging markets can yield substantial returns due to factors such as population growth, urbanization, and increasing middle-class populations. Careful market analysis and understanding local regulations

 


 

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3 Ways Top Investors Finance Their Foreign Property Investments

  • 20, May 2023

What do you do when bank financing is not available in your destination country? This article explores other options to finance your foreign property investment.

You’re not getting the same mortgage deal you’re used to

Bank financing abroad will be different from what you’re used to at home. Here are some ways in which the terms will likely be different:

1. Loan-to value ratios will be around 50 to 75 percent of what you're used to.

2. Terms may be shorter. It's almost impossible to get a 30-year loan when buying abroad.

3. You will be offered adjustable interest rates, rather than fixed.

4. You might be required to get a life insurance to secure your loan for foreign property. This isn't good news if you're already around 60, as banks wouldn't borrow you loans of more than 15-year terms. The reason being that insurance companies, as a rule, wouldn't cover you when you're above 75 years old.

Hence, there is need to check out other financing sources.

Financing tips from experts

Generally, here are some financing tips from foreign property experts:

1. If possible when starting out; start small and pay in cash. If this isn't possible, you can use your current home as collateral, without having to rely on banks or regular mortgages. Depending on the amount of equity in your home, you might get lower rates.

2. Research bank financing terms, requirements and laws in your destination country to decide which financing option would work for you. 

3. Since most of what you know about real estate might be ineffective in your destination country, it would be wise to get a partner or local agent. You'll need someone who can offer useful advice regarding financing and home ownership laws in the country.

4. If you'll be transferring funds denominated in your domestic currency, either to make a down payment, full payment or mortgage payments, don't go through the local bank. Local banks, with their wide dealing spread and limited transaction sizes, offer poor Forex services. Foreign exchange services would offer a better deal. 

 

Options to finance foreign property without using the local bank

Here are three options for foreign property investors who don't want to go through the local bank:

1. Personal loans.

Potential buyers with excellent credit will often fund an overseas purchase with an unsecured personal loan for foreign property. Interest rates can be in the single digits for qualified buyers.

Financing with a personal loan avoids the risks that go with leveraging property with a HELOC or cash refinance. This type of financing is particularly attractive when you are investing in a developing country where mortgage rates are high, and the cost of property ownership is relatively cheap.

2. Seller financing.

Some private sellers might be willing to pay part of the price. The conditions will be whatever you and the owner decides, and an average term is up to five years. In most cases, the longer a bit of property has been on the market, the better conditions you can negotiate. Much like bank funding, don't expect the owner to provide the deed until you've finished paying the loan.

3. Home equity (HELOC).

When cash is not an option, tapping into your home equity is one of the easiest ways to finance a property abroad. If you are investing in a country without a developed banking industry, it can also be the cheapest. Getting a HELOC has the added benefit of making you a cash buyer, which provides leverage when negotiating price.

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