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2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

  • By Bebuzee Admin
  • 09, January 2024
  • 1061869 views
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If you're in the market to buy or sell a home in 2023, you may be wondering what the forecast is for the housing market. With predictions of a housing market correction on the horizon, it's important to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

In this article, we'll dive into the 2023 housing market correction: forecast for the rest of the year. From what's causing the correction to how it will impact buyers and sellers, we've got you covered.

Introduction

The housing market has been booming for the past few years, with low interest rates and a high demand for homes driving up prices. However, experts are predicting that the market will experience a correction in 2023, which could have significant impacts on the real estate industry.

2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

The housing market correction in 2023 is expected to be driven by a combination of factors, including rising interest rates and an oversupply of housing inventory. As interest rates rise, it will become more expensive for buyers to take out mortgages, which could lead to a decrease in demand for homes.

Additionally, there has been a surplus of housing inventory in certain markets, which could lead to a decrease in home values as sellers compete to sell their properties. This oversupply of inventory could be attributed to a combination of factors, including a decrease in immigration and an increase in new home construction.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to lead to a decrease in home values and a decrease in demand for homes, which could impact both buyers and sellers.

How the Housing Market Correction Will Impact Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home prices and less competition. As home values decrease, it may become more affordable for buyers to purchase a home, and there may be fewer bidding wars and multiple offers.

However, buyers may also face higher interest rates, which could make it more expensive to take out a mortgage. This could impact the overall affordability of buying a home, and buyers may need to adjust their budgets accordingly.

For sellers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home values and an oversupply of inventory. This could make it more difficult to sell a home, as sellers may need to compete with other properties on the market. However, sellers may also benefit from lower interest rates, which could make it more attractive for buyers to take out a mortgage.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to impact both buyers and sellers, and it's important for both parties to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

Top 10 Housing Market Trends for 2023

While the 2023 housing market correction is expected to have a significant impact on the industry, there are other trends and predictions to keep an eye on. Here are the top 10 housing market trends for 2023:

  1. Interest rates will continue to rise, impacting affordability for buyers.
  2. The oversupply of housing inventory will continue in certain markets.
  3. Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.
  4. The demand for single-family homes will continue to increase.
  5. The rental market will remain strong, with high demand and low vacancy rates.
  6. Technology will play a larger role in the real estate industry, with more online tools and virtual tours.
  7. Sustainable and energy-efficient homes will become more popular among buyers.
  8. Cities with lower cost of living and job opportunities will see an increase in population growth.
  9. Luxury home sales will remain strong, with high demand from wealthy buyers.
  10. The real estate industry will continue to face challenges with affordability and accessibility.

ALSO READ: Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.

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3 Steps to Determine the Fair Market Value of Foreign Real Estate

  • 01, August 2023

You don’t want to pay excess on a property. So, it’s important to know what a home really costs on the equity scale

Real estate whether home or abroad is a substantial, long-term investment. It is therefore imperative that you research various countries and neighborhoods before choosing one to invest in because economists agree that there is an opportunity cost to investing in a particular property.

Your research should include the existence of changing political and economic scenarios, as these would have profound impact on the housing market, especially influencing central bank rates and lending policies.

Factors Affecting Market Value of Foreign Real Estate

Location is critical. Apart from the real estate conditions existent in the country, you don't want a place with high crime rate and bad transport system. But looking ahead, you have to examine the profitability of your investment. Home appraisers looking at homes consider features like property age, lot size, internal square footage, number of bedrooms and bathrooms, amenities and overall condition. Hence the first step in determining your home's market value is taking an appraiser’s glasses and looking at the home objectively, writing down the principal features of your home.

How to Determine Market Value of Foreign Real Estate

Valuing a home is not an exact science but here are some things you can do to make a ‘scientific’ guess on the fair market value of a property abroad.

1. Check out comps.

Find four or five comparable homes in the area that have sold within the past six months. A local agent should be able to help you with that data. Your research on comparable homes (comps) will give you a good indication of what your intended property might be worth. Comparable homes should be roughly the same size, construction, age and style with the same number of rooms, layout and other features. You want to identify the prices at which these properties sold and how fast they left the market.

2. Calculate the rate per square foot.

For each of your comps, divide the selling price by the square footage of the property. This gives you a price per square foot or PPSF. Find the average value of these homes by adding the PPSF figures and dividing by the number of comps you are using. For example, suppose it has the following compositions:

Property A is 2,000 square feet and sells for $ 420,000. The PPSF is $ 210.

Property B is 2,200 square feet and sells for $ 480,000. The PPSF is $ 218.

Property C is 1,900 square feet and sells for $ 390,000. The PPSF is $ 205.

Property D is 2,000 square feet and sells for $ 475,000. The PPSF is $ 237.

The average price per square foot is $ 217. Multiply this figure by the number of square feet of your home to get a rough idea of ??the market value of your home.

3. Consider the special qualities of your home.

While the PPSF gives a benchmark, it does not take into account the unique features that could raise or lower the value of your home. Improvements like a new bathroom, kitchen or siding tend to add value; On the contrary, it is likely that a home in poor condition will have a lower value than a well-maintained property. There is usually a wide variety of prices per square foot based on these factors. Ultimately, you have to decide if your home is worth more or less than the average PPSF in your neighborhood.

 

 

By Bebuzee Admin Read More
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5 signs youre cash flow negative on your vacation rental property

  • 17, October 2023

Spending money consistently on a cash flow negative rental isn't smart. It might be time to change your strategy.

 

Vacation rentals are a great way to make extra income from your property investments. Short term rental provider, HomeAway https://www.homeaway.com/info/getting-started/income reports that the run-of-the-mill vacation rental property owner nets $11,000 a year.

 

But if you consistently have to spend rental profits on roof repairs, vacancies, regular maintenance, bad tenants etc, you probably have a cash flow negative property on your hand. And there are two approaches to dealing with this problem. You can either wait it out and hope things will somehow change or kickstart an exit strategy to move on.

 

While cash flow doesn't have to be a decisive factor, especially when you have a vacation rental property in an up and coming neighborhood with strong potential appreciation rates. Many times, you might be spending more than you bargained for with your rental. And the faster you discover this, the better.

 

This article outlines five signs of negative cash flow vacation rentals but before we proceed let's see a simple formula for measuring cash flow on an investment property:

 

Cash Flow = Total Income (Application fees, Rent, etc.) - Total Expenses (Monthly mortgage (if applicable); General Maintenance, Electricity, HOA, Property Management, vacancies etc.)

 

As a rule of thumb when buying an investment property, it is wise to set aside an emergency fund to cover at least first six months of expenses. So let's dive right in and see some of the signs to watch for.

 

1. High vacancy/Low occupancy rate in a location: What's the occupancy rate for your neighborhood? An important sign of a cash flow negative property is high vacancy rate in the neighborhood. According to Turnkey VR https://blog.turnkeyvr.com/much-money-can-make-vacation-rental/ specializing in the management of turnkey vacation rental homes, "Occupancy rates for vacation rentals can be all over the map. For instance, a vacation rental home in a big city might create more demand than a rental property at a seasonal location like the beach". Location is key when buying real estate, especially for investment. Hence it's wise to spend time researching a neighborhood before taking the plunge.

 

2. High Maintenance property: Are you doling out high monthly fees for property maintenance? Then you might be dealing with a cash flow negative property. A 30-year-old property might offer a great deal but when you have to spend considerable time and money on maintenance and fixes monthly, you have to ask yourself if it's worth it.

 

3. Declining Rental Property Market: How strong is the rental property market? There is a strong correlation between a thriving property market and low vacancy rates. Many times a declining rental market is a sign of underlying economic issues, most times accompanied by high unemployment rates and slow growth. Sticking around in such a neighborhood would be unwise. Unless you're confident about a significant development in the neighborhood in coming years.

 

4. High Property Taxes: Did property taxes go up? Taxes can get tricky, especially when you're buying as a foreigner. However, when sudden tax changes are eating up your income, then you have a negative cash flow property.

 

5. Problem Tenants: Are problem tenants eating up your profits? You have two options, regarding managing your rental property. You can either hire a property management company, which means more expenses but better management. Or you can just ride it solo. While this offers you the chance to take an active role with your property, dealing with problem tenants (tenants who break things, tenants refusing to pay rent or pay promptly, tenants causing disturbance etc.) is a major headache and can eat into your profits.

 

Hence the importance of having a screening process that's hard to bypass. However, if you deal with problem tenants a lot, it might be time to consider setting an exit strategy in motion.

 

You can take advantage of short-term rental cash flow with sites like HomeAway and AirBnb. While tenant turnover rates can be high in the short term, short term rentals can be profitable, especially in a popular destination such as a ski resort or beach community.

By Bebuzee Admin Read More
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The Real Estate Market in January 2025: A Comprehensive Overview

  • 21, January 2025

Understanding the Trends and Influences Shaping the Market

As we step into the New Year, the real estate market in January 2025 presents a fascinating tableau of trends and influences, reflecting broader economic conditions and demographic shifts. This month has already set the tone for what property buyers, sellers, and investors can expect in the coming months.

Market Trends

Housing Prices

January 2025 has seen a modest increase in housing prices across most urban areas, continuing the upward trend from the latter part of 2024. Factors contributing to this rise include ongoing demand for residential properties, coupled with limited supply. Major metropolitan regions like New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago have experienced notable price hikes, while smaller cities and rural areas have seen more moderate increases.

Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve's recent decision to maintain relatively low interest rates has sustained the affordability of mortgages, encouraging buyer activity. However, whispers of potential rate hikes later in the year have caused some buyers to expedite their purchasing decisions, adding a layer of urgency to the market.

Influences on the Market

Economic Conditions

The national economy has shown signs of steady growth, with low unemployment rates and rising wages contributing to consumer confidence. This economic stability has bolstered the real estate market, as more individuals and families feel financially secure enough to invest in property.

Demographic Shifts

Millennials, now entering their peak home-buying years, continue to drive demand for residential properties. This generational shift is particularly evident in suburban areas, where younger buyers are seeking affordable housing options with access to good schools and amenities. Additionally, the increasing trend of remote work has allowed more people to consider relocating away from expensive urban centers to more affordable regions.

Regional Insights

West Coast

California remains a hotspot for real estate activity, with cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles experiencing significant price surges. The tech industry's ongoing expansion in the Bay Area continues to attract high-income professionals, driving demand for luxury homes and high-end apartments. Meanwhile, more affordable areas in the Central Valley and Inland Empire are witnessing increased interest from buyers looking for cost-effective alternatives.

East Coast

New York City's real estate market has rebounded strongly from the pandemic-induced slump, with both residential and commercial properties showing robust performance. The city's appeal as a cultural and financial hub continues to draw investors and homebuyers alike. In contrast, smaller cities along the Eastern Seaboard, such as Raleigh and Charleston, offer attractive opportunities for those seeking a slower-paced lifestyle without sacrificing urban conveniences.

Midwest

The Midwest's real estate market remains stable, with cities like Chicago, Minneapolis, and Detroit witnessing steady growth. Affordable housing prices and strong job markets in these areas make them appealing destinations for both young professionals and families. Additionally, the region's focus on revitalizing urban centers has spurred interest in downtown properties and historic neighborhoods.

South

The Southern real estate market continues to thrive, driven by population growth and economic development. Cities such as Austin, Nashville, and Atlanta are experiencing rapid expansion, with new residential and commercial projects springing up to meet demand. The region's warm climate, lower cost of living, and business-friendly environment make it a magnet for both domestic and international buyers.

Challenges and Opportunities

Supply Constraints

One of the significant challenges facing the real estate market in January 2025 is the persistent supply constraints. The construction industry is grappling with labor shortages and rising material costs, which hinder the ability to meet the growing demand for new homes. This imbalance between supply and demand contributes to the upward pressure on housing prices.

Technological Advancements

On the flip side, technological advancements are presenting new opportunities in the real estate sector. The adoption of virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) technologies allows potential buyers to take virtual tours of properties from the comfort of their homes. Additionally, blockchain technology is streamlining the transaction process, making it more transparent and efficient.

Sustainability

Sustainability continues to be a crucial consideration for both developers and buyers. The demand for eco-friendly homes with energy-efficient features is on the rise, driven by increasing environmental awareness and the desire to reduce utility costs. Builders are incorporating sustainable practices and materials into new projects, catering to this growing market segment.

Looking Ahead

As we move further into 2025, several factors will shape the real estate market's trajectory. Potential changes in interest rates, evolving economic conditions, and demographic trends will all play a crucial role in determining market dynamics. For buyers, sellers, and investors, staying informed and adaptable will be key to navigating the ever-changing landscape of the real estate market.

In summary, January 2025 sets a promising yet complex stage for the real estate market. With rising prices, robust demand, and technological innovations, the sector is poised for continued growth. However, challenges such as supply constraints and economic uncertainties necessitate careful consideration and strategic planning. As always, those who can anticipate and adapt to these shifts will find the most success in the vibrant world of real estate.

By Bebuzee Team Read More

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