As we move into 2024 and 2025, the housing market is likely to see some significant changes. After a tumultuous couple of years, there is some optimism about the future of the housing market. However, there are also concerns about rising interest rates, inflation, and a potential housing bubble. In this article, we will take a closer look at the Housing Market Forecast 2024 & 2025 and make some predictions about what we can expect over the next five years.

Introduction

The housing market has been on a wild ride over the past few years. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a sudden and severe downturn in the market. However, the housing market has rebounded strongly in 2021, with record-high prices and a surge in demand for homes. With the economy showing signs of recovery and interest rates at historic lows, many experts believe that the housing market will continue to grow in the coming years.

Housing Market Forecast 2024 & 2025: Predictions for Next 5 Years

Increased demand for affordable housing

One of the biggest trends in the housing market over the next five years is likely to be an increased demand for affordable housing. With home prices at all-time highs and many people struggling to afford homes, there is a growing need for more affordable options. This could lead to an increase in the construction of smaller, more affordable homes, as well as a rise in the popularity of alternative housing options like tiny homes and mobile homes.

Continued growth in suburban areas

Another trend that is likely to continue over the next five years is the growth of suburban areas. Many people are looking to move out of crowded cities and into quieter, more spacious areas. This has led to a surge in demand for homes in suburban areas, and this trend is likely to continue in the coming years.

Rising interest rates

One concern for the housing market over the next five years is rising interest rates. While interest rates are currently at historic lows, they are expected to rise in the coming years as the economy recovers. This could lead to a slowdown in the housing market and make it more difficult for some people to afford homes.

Potential housing bubble

Another concern for the housing market is the possibility of a housing bubble. With home prices at record highs and demand outstripping supply, some experts are worried that the market may be overinflated. If this is the case, a correction could be on the horizon, which could lead to a significant downturn in the housing market.

Increased focus on sustainability

As concerns about climate change grow, there is likely to be an increased focus on sustainability in the housing market. This could lead to an increase in the construction of eco-friendly homes and the retrofitting of existing homes to make them more sustainable. Additionally, there may be an increase in the popularity of alternative housing options like tiny homes and shipping container homes, which are often designed with sustainability in mind.

Growing popularity of smart homes

Smart home technology has been growing in popularity in recent years, and this trend is likely to continue over the next five years. With the rise of the Internet of Things (IoT) and the increasing availability of smart home devices, more and more people are expected to embrace this technology in their homes.

FAQs

What will happen to home prices over the next five years?

It's difficult to predict exactly what will happen to home prices over the next five years. However, many experts believe that prices will continue to rise, although at a slower pace than we have seen in recent years. Rising interest rates and concerns about a housing bubble could lead to a slowdown in the market

Knowing the extra costs and preparing ahead will help reduce the stress of overseas property investing. Much of this boils down to targeted research. However, here is a brief overview of the extra costs you have to face.

Buying property overseas is both an exciting and a frightening prospect. The most frightening aspect is the cost. Most buyers are delving into relatively uncharted lands personally and knowledge-wise, hence they don't really have a 100% certainty about price. There are extra costs lurking here and there and the chief is foreign taxes. Foreign taxes represent the largest share of extra cost for foreign property buyers. It is important to get the advice of a property specialist on property taxes in your destination country. The key to successfully investing in foreign housing is knowing how to budget for extra costs. Putting money down for these extra costs will put you at ease and the remaining specs will come together smoothly.

Additional Costs To Budget For When Buying property overseas

Extra costs can be overwhelming and have the capacity to snuff the life out of your foreign property venture. Preparing ahead is your best bet. You will need to budget for the cost of travelling back and forth, annual carrying costs and in some cases, stamp duty when the property is eventually sold. And combining these costs can add up to 15% of the home's market value. In many cases, additional costs on foreign property investing will fall into these categories:

1. Mortgage Arrangement fees.

Your bank or private lender will charge a fee for arranging funds for your mortgage. These fees will vary according to your mortgage. In some cases, they will be added to your mortgage. You don't want this (so ask upfront). In which case, you will have to pay interest on that amount.

2. Property Purchase Taxes.

·         VAT (Value Added Tax): Property owners fail to take this into account. But it is mandatory in many countries. The VAT is similar to a sales tax for property owners in the United States or the goods and services tax that Canadian property owners have to pay.

·         Stamp Duty fee (on new properties in some countries) fluctuates relying upon the locale the property is in. It is calculated as the percentage of the price tag which varies but is normally in the range of 0.5% and 1.5% of the price.

·         Miscellaneous: In Spain, for instance, when purchasing a property from a private owner, Transfer Tax (ITP, Impuesto sobre Transmisiones Patrimoniales) is paid rather than VAT. The ITP rate differs from place to place, but is in the range of 6% and 10% of the purchase price. In Quebec, there is something called a welcome tax, It usually costs about 1 to 1.5% of the underlying price tag, although the cost generally depends upon the value of the property.

3. Legal fees.

Legal fees also vary from country to country. It is common for Spanish lawyers to calculate their commission for the purchase of a property based on a percentage of the purchase price of the property (generally this is 1%, subject to a minimum fee of around € 1000).

4. Notary fees and Land Registry.

These rates will also depend on the purchase price and the complexity of legal documentation. You can expect to pay around € 750 for land registration fees and € 1,000 for notary expenses.

5. Maintenance.

Beyond the issue of foreign taxes, homeowners should also plan the cost of hiring a property manager to oversee the maintenance problems and concerns of renters, especially if they plan to rent the property year-round.

By investigating all the costs associated with foreign owned property, potential buyers can focus on enjoying their home abroad without having an unexpected blow to their pockets. If a buyer does their research and saves upfront, they can eliminate stress and prevent extra costs from adding up.

Asian investors are the largest group snapping up foreign property according to research. But in which cities are they investing? And why?

As more people's attention is being drawn to real estate as an asset class, a larger number of people are seeking out foreign property. 2017 saw a large number of Asian investors enter the market sweeping up properties from the US to Canada straight to France. Recently, contrary to expectations, their attention is being drawn to residential and commercial properties in London, UK.

Propertywire's first quarter of 2018 stats https://www.propertywire.com/news/global-news/londons-commercial-property-market-top-draw-international-buyers/ reveal that overall about 5.6 billion pounds of foreign money was invested in London, with Asian investors contributing about 4.4 billion pounds or 65% of the total investments. The next highest was Hong Kong at 5 billion with Paris following from behind at 1.9 billion pounds.

If you're looking to invest in real estate, one of the major factors you would need to consider is liquidity. Based on liquidity, these are the top performing cities for cross-border real estate investing in 2018. This is indirectly influenced by population growth, employment growth and usually followed by an increase in home values or strong rental yield. 

•   New York, USA: Brooklyn and Manhattan are two of New York's favorite hot spots for foreign real estate investors. The activity of Chinese, Russian and Middle Eastern real estate investors, paying cash on high-end properties has consistently driven New York City’s real estate price upwards. With a population growth that hasn't slowed down, New York City real estate not only offers liquidity but stability for real estate investors.

•   London, UK: Despite Brexit, London leads the way as a favorite for foreign real estate capital. In the aftermath of Brexit, the attention to both London's commercial and residential real estate has been largely driven by a weaker pound and more affordable housing. Foreign real estate activity in London is largely funded by equity funds, institutional investments, and private capital. Units in the mid-range segments have been most popular among buyers. Presently, though, the government is setting tax constraints on foreign real estate investing as the cost of home ownership increases.

•    Hong Kong, China: In 2017, Hong Kong was named the "most luxurious" prime housing market for the second year running by Christie's real estate https://www.christiesrealestate.com/eng/sales/hkg . Hong Kong's housing market has shown little cooling with 4.4 billion pounds of foreign money spent by foreign investors in 2018 first quarter. The heated market in Hong Kong, as experts pinpointed, is a major reason for increased residential housing prices all through China.

•    Paris, France: The French economy is seeing a boom with the number of foreign investment activity reaching a 10 year high last year. The French economy exceeded expectations with a 2.2% growth, a large number of jobs created and strong real estate activity. Also with fairly stable mortgage rates, many investors are picking up properties in Paris and Bordeaux. Beyond 2018, analysts speculate the South of France will experience a strong housing demand.

•    Los Angeles, CA: Los Angeles may soon replace Hong Kong as the no 1 most expensive city for expats. Currently, the average price of a luxury property in Los Angeles is $2.5 million. With population growth, increasing disposable income and a thriving tech sector, Los Angeles real estate offer stability and liquidity for investors. However, housing is in short supply. A situation leading to soaring house prices. With population growth and a great economy, Los Angeles is a great option for single-family investors seeking high rental yield.