As we move into 2024 and 2025, the housing market is likely to see some significant changes. After a tumultuous couple of years, there is some optimism about the future of the housing market. However, there are also concerns about rising interest rates, inflation, and a potential housing bubble. In this article, we will take a closer look at the Housing Market Forecast 2024 & 2025 and make some predictions about what we can expect over the next five years.

Introduction

The housing market has been on a wild ride over the past few years. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a sudden and severe downturn in the market. However, the housing market has rebounded strongly in 2021, with record-high prices and a surge in demand for homes. With the economy showing signs of recovery and interest rates at historic lows, many experts believe that the housing market will continue to grow in the coming years.

Housing Market Forecast 2024 & 2025: Predictions for Next 5 Years

Increased demand for affordable housing

One of the biggest trends in the housing market over the next five years is likely to be an increased demand for affordable housing. With home prices at all-time highs and many people struggling to afford homes, there is a growing need for more affordable options. This could lead to an increase in the construction of smaller, more affordable homes, as well as a rise in the popularity of alternative housing options like tiny homes and mobile homes.

Continued growth in suburban areas

Another trend that is likely to continue over the next five years is the growth of suburban areas. Many people are looking to move out of crowded cities and into quieter, more spacious areas. This has led to a surge in demand for homes in suburban areas, and this trend is likely to continue in the coming years.

Rising interest rates

One concern for the housing market over the next five years is rising interest rates. While interest rates are currently at historic lows, they are expected to rise in the coming years as the economy recovers. This could lead to a slowdown in the housing market and make it more difficult for some people to afford homes.

Potential housing bubble

Another concern for the housing market is the possibility of a housing bubble. With home prices at record highs and demand outstripping supply, some experts are worried that the market may be overinflated. If this is the case, a correction could be on the horizon, which could lead to a significant downturn in the housing market.

Increased focus on sustainability

As concerns about climate change grow, there is likely to be an increased focus on sustainability in the housing market. This could lead to an increase in the construction of eco-friendly homes and the retrofitting of existing homes to make them more sustainable. Additionally, there may be an increase in the popularity of alternative housing options like tiny homes and shipping container homes, which are often designed with sustainability in mind.

Growing popularity of smart homes

Smart home technology has been growing in popularity in recent years, and this trend is likely to continue over the next five years. With the rise of the Internet of Things (IoT) and the increasing availability of smart home devices, more and more people are expected to embrace this technology in their homes.

FAQs

What will happen to home prices over the next five years?

It's difficult to predict exactly what will happen to home prices over the next five years. However, many experts believe that prices will continue to rise, although at a slower pace than we have seen in recent years. Rising interest rates and concerns about a housing bubble could lead to a slowdown in the market

Spending money consistently on a cash flow negative rental isn't smart. It might be time to change your strategy.

Vacation rentals are a great way to make extra income from your property investments. Short term rental provider, HomeAway https://www.homeaway.com/info/getting-started/income reports that the run-of-the-mill vacation rental property owner nets $11,000 a year.

But if you consistently have to spend rental profits on roof repairs, vacancies, regular maintenance, bad tenants etc, you probably have a cash flow negative property on your hand. And there are two approaches to dealing with this problem. You can either wait it out and hope things will somehow change or kickstart an exit strategy to move on.

While cash flow doesn't have to be a decisive factor, especially when you have a vacation rental property in an up and coming neighborhood with strong potential appreciation rates. Many times, you might be spending more than you bargained for with your rental. And the faster you discover this, the better.

This article outlines five signs of negative cash flow vacation rentals but before we proceed let's see a simple formula for measuring cash flow on an investment property:

Cash Flow = Total Income (Application fees, Rent, etc.) - Total Expenses (Monthly mortgage (if applicable); General Maintenance, Electricity, HOA, Property Management, vacancies etc.)

As a rule of thumb when buying an investment property, it is wise to set aside an emergency fund to cover at least first six months of expenses. So let's dive right in and see some of the signs to watch for.

1. High vacancy/Low occupancy rate in a location: What's the occupancy rate for your neighborhood? An important sign of a cash flow negative property is high vacancy rate in the neighborhood. According to Turnkey VR https://blog.turnkeyvr.com/much-money-can-make-vacation-rental/ specializing in the management of turnkey vacation rental homes, "Occupancy rates for vacation rentals can be all over the map. For instance, a vacation rental home in a big city might create more demand than a rental property at a seasonal location like the beach". Location is key when buying real estate, especially for investment. Hence it's wise to spend time researching a neighborhood before taking the plunge.

2. High Maintenance property: Are you doling out high monthly fees for property maintenance? Then you might be dealing with a cash flow negative property. A 30-year-old property might offer a great deal but when you have to spend considerable time and money on maintenance and fixes monthly, you have to ask yourself if it's worth it.

3. Declining Rental Property Market: How strong is the rental property market? There is a strong correlation between a thriving property market and low vacancy rates. Many times a declining rental market is a sign of underlying economic issues, most times accompanied by high unemployment rates and slow growth. Sticking around in such a neighborhood would be unwise. Unless you're confident about a significant development in the neighborhood in coming years.

4. High Property Taxes: Did property taxes go up? Taxes can get tricky, especially when you're buying as a foreigner. However, when sudden tax changes are eating up your income, then you have a negative cash flow property.

5. Problem Tenants: Are problem tenants eating up your profits? You have two options, regarding managing your rental property. You can either hire a property management company, which means more expenses but better management. Or you can just ride it solo. While this offers you the chance to take an active role with your property, dealing with problem tenants (tenants who break things, tenants refusing to pay rent or pay promptly, tenants causing disturbance etc.) is a major headache and can eat into your profits.

Hence the importance of having a screening process that's hard to bypass. However, if you deal with problem tenants a lot, it might be time to consider setting an exit strategy in motion.

You can take advantage of short-term rental cash flow with sites like HomeAway and AirBnb. While tenant turnover rates can be high in the short term, short term rentals can be profitable, especially in a popular destination such as a ski resort or beach community.

Knowing the extra costs and preparing ahead will help reduce the stress of overseas property investing. Much of this boils down to targeted research. However, here is a brief overview of the extra costs you have to face.

Buying property overseas is both an exciting and a frightening prospect. The most frightening aspect is the cost. Most buyers are delving into relatively uncharted lands personally and knowledge-wise, hence they don't really have a 100% certainty about price. There are extra costs lurking here and there and the chief is foreign taxes. Foreign taxes represent the largest share of extra cost for foreign property buyers. It is important to get the advice of a property specialist on property taxes in your destination country. The key to successfully investing in foreign housing is knowing how to budget for extra costs. Putting money down for these extra costs will put you at ease and the remaining specs will come together smoothly.

Additional Costs To Budget For When Buying property overseas

Extra costs can be overwhelming and have the capacity to snuff the life out of your foreign property venture. Preparing ahead is your best bet. You will need to budget for the cost of travelling back and forth, annual carrying costs and in some cases, stamp duty when the property is eventually sold. And combining these costs can add up to 15% of the home's market value. In many cases, additional costs on foreign property investing will fall into these categories:

1. Mortgage Arrangement fees.

Your bank or private lender will charge a fee for arranging funds for your mortgage. These fees will vary according to your mortgage. In some cases, they will be added to your mortgage. You don't want this (so ask upfront). In which case, you will have to pay interest on that amount.

2. Property Purchase Taxes.

·         VAT (Value Added Tax): Property owners fail to take this into account. But it is mandatory in many countries. The VAT is similar to a sales tax for property owners in the United States or the goods and services tax that Canadian property owners have to pay.

·         Stamp Duty fee (on new properties in some countries) fluctuates relying upon the locale the property is in. It is calculated as the percentage of the price tag which varies but is normally in the range of 0.5% and 1.5% of the price.

·         Miscellaneous: In Spain, for instance, when purchasing a property from a private owner, Transfer Tax (ITP, Impuesto sobre Transmisiones Patrimoniales) is paid rather than VAT. The ITP rate differs from place to place, but is in the range of 6% and 10% of the purchase price. In Quebec, there is something called a welcome tax, It usually costs about 1 to 1.5% of the underlying price tag, although the cost generally depends upon the value of the property.

3. Legal fees.

Legal fees also vary from country to country. It is common for Spanish lawyers to calculate their commission for the purchase of a property based on a percentage of the purchase price of the property (generally this is 1%, subject to a minimum fee of around € 1000).

4. Notary fees and Land Registry.

These rates will also depend on the purchase price and the complexity of legal documentation. You can expect to pay around € 750 for land registration fees and € 1,000 for notary expenses.

5. Maintenance.

Beyond the issue of foreign taxes, homeowners should also plan the cost of hiring a property manager to oversee the maintenance problems and concerns of renters, especially if they plan to rent the property year-round.

By investigating all the costs associated with foreign owned property, potential buyers can focus on enjoying their home abroad without having an unexpected blow to their pockets. If a buyer does their research and saves upfront, they can eliminate stress and prevent extra costs from adding up.