2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

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If you're in the market to buy or sell a home in 2023, you may be wondering what the forecast is for the housing market. With predictions of a housing market correction on the horizon, it's important to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

In this article, we'll dive into the 2023 housing market correction: forecast for the rest of the year. From what's causing the correction to how it will impact buyers and sellers, we've got you covered.

Introduction

The housing market has been booming for the past few years, with low interest rates and a high demand for homes driving up prices. However, experts are predicting that the market will experience a correction in 2023, which could have significant impacts on the real estate industry.

2023 Housing Market Correction: Forecast for the Rest of the Year

The housing market correction in 2023 is expected to be driven by a combination of factors, including rising interest rates and an oversupply of housing inventory. As interest rates rise, it will become more expensive for buyers to take out mortgages, which could lead to a decrease in demand for homes.

Additionally, there has been a surplus of housing inventory in certain markets, which could lead to a decrease in home values as sellers compete to sell their properties. This oversupply of inventory could be attributed to a combination of factors, including a decrease in immigration and an increase in new home construction.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to lead to a decrease in home values and a decrease in demand for homes, which could impact both buyers and sellers.

How the Housing Market Correction Will Impact Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home prices and less competition. As home values decrease, it may become more affordable for buyers to purchase a home, and there may be fewer bidding wars and multiple offers.

However, buyers may also face higher interest rates, which could make it more expensive to take out a mortgage. This could impact the overall affordability of buying a home, and buyers may need to adjust their budgets accordingly.

For sellers, the 2023 housing market correction could mean lower home values and an oversupply of inventory. This could make it more difficult to sell a home, as sellers may need to compete with other properties on the market. However, sellers may also benefit from lower interest rates, which could make it more attractive for buyers to take out a mortgage.

Overall, the 2023 housing market correction is expected to impact both buyers and sellers, and it's important for both parties to stay informed on the latest trends and predictions.

Top 10 Housing Market Trends for 2023

While the 2023 housing market correction is expected to have a significant impact on the industry, there are other trends and predictions to keep an eye on. Here are the top 10 housing market trends for 2023:

  1. Interest rates will continue to rise, impacting affordability for buyers.
  2. The oversupply of housing inventory will continue in certain markets.
  3. Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.
  4. The demand for single-family homes will continue to increase.
  5. The rental market will remain strong, with high demand and low vacancy rates.
  6. Technology will play a larger role in the real estate industry, with more online tools and virtual tours.
  7. Sustainable and energy-efficient homes will become more popular among buyers.
  8. Cities with lower cost of living and job opportunities will see an increase in population growth.
  9. Luxury home sales will remain strong, with high demand from wealthy buyers.
  10. The real estate industry will continue to face challenges with affordability and accessibility.

ALSO READ: Home values will decrease, making it more affordable for buyers.

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5 cities with the highest cross border real estate activity in 2018

  • 26, October 2023

Asian investors are the largest group snapping up foreign property according to research. But in which cities are they investing? And why?

 

As more people's attention is being drawn to real estate as an asset class, a larger number of people are seeking out foreign property. 2017 saw a large number of Asian investors enter the market sweeping up properties from the US to Canada straight to France. Recently, contrary to expectations, their attention is being drawn to residential and commercial properties in London, UK.

 

Propertywire's first quarter of 2018 stats https://www.propertywire.com/news/global-news/londons-commercial-property-market-top-draw-international-buyers/ reveal that overall about 5.6 billion pounds of foreign money was invested in London, with Asian investors contributing about 4.4 billion pounds or 65% of the total investments. The next highest was Hong Kong at 5 billion with Paris following from behind at 1.9 billion pounds.

 

If you're looking to invest in real estate, one of the major factors you would need to consider is liquidity. Based on liquidity, these are the top performing cities for cross-border real estate investing in 2018. This is indirectly influenced by population growth, employment growth and usually followed by an increase in home values or strong rental yield. 

 

•   New York, USA: Brooklyn and Manhattan are two of New York's favorite hot spots for foreign real estate investors. The activity of Chinese, Russian and Middle Eastern real estate investors, paying cash on high-end properties has consistently driven New York City’s real estate price upwards. With a population growth that hasn't slowed down, New York City real estate not only offers liquidity but stability for real estate investors.

 

•   London, UK: Despite Brexit, London leads the way as a favorite for foreign real estate capital. In the aftermath of Brexit, the attention to both London's commercial and residential real estate has been largely driven by a weaker pound and more affordable housing. Foreign real estate activity in London is largely funded by equity funds, institutional investments, and private capital. Units in the mid-range segments have been most popular among buyers. Presently, though, the government is setting tax constraints on foreign real estate investing as the cost of home ownership increases.

 

•    Hong Kong, China: In 2017, Hong Kong was named the "most luxurious" prime housing market for the second year running by Christie's real estate https://www.christiesrealestate.com/eng/sales/hkg . Hong Kong's housing market has shown little cooling with 4.4 billion pounds of foreign money spent by foreign investors in 2018 first quarter. The heated market in Hong Kong, as experts pinpointed, is a major reason for increased residential housing prices all through China.

 

•    Paris, France: The French economy is seeing a boom with the number of foreign investment activity reaching a 10 year high last year. The French economy exceeded expectations with a 2.2% growth, a large number of jobs created and strong real estate activity. Also with fairly stable mortgage rates, many investors are picking up properties in Paris and Bordeaux. Beyond 2018, analysts speculate the South of France will experience a strong housing demand.

 

•    Los Angeles, CA: Los Angeles may soon replace Hong Kong as the no 1 most expensive city for expats. Currently, the average price of a luxury property in Los Angeles is $2.5 million. With population growth, increasing disposable income and a thriving tech sector, Los Angeles real estate offer stability and liquidity for investors. However, housing is in short supply. A situation leading to soaring house prices. With population growth and a great economy, Los Angeles is a great option for single-family investors seeking high rental yield.

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Avoid These 5 Easy Mistakes When Making International Property Investment

  • 10, August 2023

A combination of cheap mortgages and plunging prices have triggered and are still triggering investments in foreign property. 5.4 million Britons consider buying a property abroad. But buying foreign property is not easy. Many of the British folks who bought Spanish properties before the financial crisis now contend with legal battles, touting to pull their foreign property down and that dream of foreign property ownership with it. Many of those who rushed into foreign property investing have sad stories to tell. The most important advice when making an international property investment is still to take your time, do careful research and get legal advice.

Buying property abroad, where currency value favors you is a lucrative arrangement. Currently, the Pound leads the Euro by 10%, so British property buyers looking to buy in Italy, Spain, Portugal etc. would have to pay 10% less on comparable properties. It might not be worth it if you consider travel costs and other expenses. Hence, apart from knowing legal and property rules in your destination country, you should also consider how much you're going to spend and if the expenses would justify itself.

Moreover, there could be scrupulous characters you have to deal with. In property buying, you have to let your head make the decisions. More so, when buying abroad. Let's explore the five common mistakes international property investors make and how they can be avoided.

 

MISTAKES INVESTORS MAKE WHEN MAKING INTERNATIONAL PROPERTY INVESTMENT

1.      Lack of information.

You can easily get burned when you are not aware of the nuances and trends of your chosen real estate market. It's not just enough to research and find out the particulars of making an investment in a specific country, be aware of the mistakes specific to foreign property investors in that country. If the eager Brits of the pre-recession had been well-informed, they wouldn't have fallen into legal traps.

 

2.      Planning on the move.

Don't buy a house, then put together a plan later. Have a plan before you buy. This is all the more important for investors. It is the most common mistake made by newbie investors. You might spot a good deal and be prompted to make an offer quick. Don't. Make sure you form a plan beforehand and get a property that fits your investment strategy. This will keep you focused.

3.      Trying to make money quickly. Real estate, unlike stocks, is usually a long term investment. If you think you'll make a load of profit on your property within a short time, you might be setting yourself up to be disappointed.

 

4.      Flying solo. Professional investors always have a team. The team usually comprises of real estate agent, an appraiser, an attorney and a lender. If you want to achieve success in overseas real estate investing, don't fly solo.

 

5.      Paying too much. Flying solo and inadequate research most times will lead to paying too much on a property. New investors abroad usually goof up by paying too much on the properties they buy. Making this mistake will leave you working with less if you plan on buying for investment.

As much as it is lucrative, buying a home abroad is risk bound. It is always important to exercise caution when making an overseas investment deal and learn the fundamentals.

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Buying Property Abroad 5 Crucial Questions to Ask Before Making an International Real Estate Investment

  • 25, April 2023

What’s the crucial thing when making an investment? Simple! Protect your investment. Whether you’re buying stocks or putting money down on real estate? Whether you are buying property abroad or locally? Whether you are buying overseas property for investment or just looking to relocate? You need to recognize that there are risks. Heck, buying property abroad is like running a hurdle. You’re crossing hurdles like investment restriction laws, taxation, paperwork, exchange rate changes etc. Real estate investing comes at a risk, especially when you are going into relatively uncharted territories. You need to ask yourself some crucial questions.

1.     WHY AM I BUYING THE PROPERTY?

Any decision you take subsequently will depend on this to an extent. Are you buying just to relocate or as an investor. You need to make up your mind. Your choice of mortgage, your budget and the type of insurance you go for would depend on this.

It’s easy to say I’ll move into the property for some time, get a feel of the place for a while then I’ll sell out when the market is steamy. Seems like a good strategy but guess what? Your guess may be wrong? You may have to stay with a property you don’t like for years or just bear the big loss. Hence you need to make up your mind beforehand. Am I relocating or investing?

 

2.     HOW WILL I GET FINANCING?

Financing is a big deal when it comes to buying property abroad. You can’t just carry cash around, you need to select a reputable bank in your destination to deal with. If mortgages are available by the destination bank, you need to ascertain what types of mortgages are available and what contingencies. In a case where a deposit is required by your seller, make sure that an ‘opt out clause’ is signed to make sure your deposit will be returned in case the mortgage falls through.

 

3.     SHOULD I BUY A NEW BUILD PROPERTY?

If you are buying a new construction or an off-plan property, be sure to choose the developer carefully. Ask a lot of questions. Initially, focus these questions on the agent or company itself, not the properties. Ask about customer testimonials and check what is included in their service. Ask for details in writing. You might be tempted to make a deposit on an attractive new-build property right away. Cool down and think before you leap.

 

4.     WHAT ABOUT RENTAL YIELDS?

Property specialists caution against getting sucked in by claims of developers. ‘There is huge capital growth’, ‘rental yields are off the roof’ etc.  Always remember: with big returns come big risks.

 

Don't just think about the profit to be made. Put some effort into your calculations and note that interest rates change over time, also include the tax implications of renting out your property abroad.  You should consult a tax expert or lawyer.

 

5.     WHAT WOULD BE THE ADDITIONAL COSTS?

Budget for extra costs to be between 8 - 10 % of the house value. This may often be far more in a few countries. Make sure you are, therefore, alert to the costs incurred for investing in a property in your selected country.

 

Whether you want to relocate abroad or create a global real estate investment portfolio, it's important to keep in mind that even the best strategies occasionally fall flat. You are going to therefore need an appropriate contingency plan and exit strategy, as this will lessen any inconvenience triggered and the prospect of financial loss. Hence, for those wanting to relocate, it is important to hold on to ties in your country of origin and ideally preserve a preexisting property for a predetermined time frame. Investors will also have to keep a keen eye on the global market and prevailing economic trends, as these factors may determine the necessity to sell or change strategy.

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