Significant Decline in Property Sales Across Croatia
In the first quarter of this year, Croatia experienced a dramatic decrease in property sales, with only 3,357 flats sold compared to 5,730 in the same period last year—a staggering drop of 41%.
Zagreb’s Real Estate Market Analysis
The capital, Zagreb, also saw a notable decline in property transactions, with a 28% decrease in the first quarter of this year compared to the same period in 2023. Filip Brkan, owner of the real estate agency Imperium Immobiliare, conducted a detailed analysis of transaction data from 2017 to 2024. According to his findings, as reported by Večernji list, 1,711 flats were sold in the first three months of this year, down from 2,370 in the same period last year.
The data from previous years showed varying figures:
- 2022: 2,207 flats sold
- 2021: 2,692 flats sold
- 2020: 2,411 flats sold
This analysis utilized data from the e-nekretnine system, managed by the Ministry of Spatial Planning, Construction, and State Assets.
Historical Transaction Trends
From 2017 to 2018, there was a significant 17% increase in transactions, partly due to the introduction of APN-subsidised housing loans. This positive trend continued with a 10% increase in 2019. However, in 2020, the market saw a slight decline of 6%, attributed to the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. The market rebounded in 2021 with a 12% increase in transactions, indicating an adaptation to the new living and working conditions during the pandemic.
In 2022, transactions dropped significantly by 18% compared to 2021. This decline was due to economic uncertainties, continued labor market changes post-pandemic, geopolitical tensions such as the war in Ukraine, and rising interest rates by central banks to combat inflation, which increased housing loan costs and decreased property affordability.
Current Year Decline
The most significant decline occurred in 2024, with a 28% decrease in transactions compared to 2023. When compared to the last positive year, 2021, the drop is even more pronounced.
The current trends highlight the challenging conditions facing the Croatian real estate market, influenced by economic uncertainties, rising interest rates, and changing market dynamics.