Candidates Supported by Bolsonaro Lead in Four Capitals Against Three Sponsored by Lula
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Loading... - Frieda Winter
- 04 Jul 2024
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In the race for the leadership of Brazil's capital cities, four candidates backed by former President Jair Bolsonaro are leading in voting intentions, while three candidates supported by current President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are ahead in other capitals. The competition between Bolsonaro and Lula's supporters remains tight in three other capitals, including São Paulo, and some locations have yet to be defined. According to experts, pre-candidates need to assess the rejection rate of their associated political figures before attaching their image to theirs.
Current Leading Candidates:
Bolsonaro-Supported Candidates:
- Aracaju (SE)
- Belém (PA)
- Curitiba (PR)
- Salvador (BA)
Lula-Supported Candidates:
- Porto Alegre (RS)
- Recife (PE)
- Rio de Janeiro (RJ)
Voter Statistics:
- The cities where Lula-supported candidates are favorites have a combined voter base of seven million.
- The cities where Bolsonaro's candidates are ahead have a total of 4.9 million voters.
Recent Survey Insights:
In São Paulo, the latest Real Time Big Data survey (June 25-28) shows federal deputy Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) and current mayor Ricardo Nunes (MDB) both tied at 29% of voting intentions.
In Rio Branco (AC), former mayor Marcus Alexandre (MDB) and current mayor Tião Bocalom (PL) are tied with 34% of mentions, with a margin of error of three percentage points.
Other Capitals with Close Competition:
Fortaleza (CE), Campo Grande (MS), and Belo Horizonte (BH) have Bolsonaro's pre-candidates ahead of Lula’s, but none are leading in voting intentions.
In Fortaleza, the favorite is Capitão Wagner (União).
In Campo Grande, Rose Modesto (União Brasil) leads.
In Belo Horizonte, Mauro Tramonte (Republicanos) is ahead.
Vitória (ES) Scenario:
In Vitória, neither Lula-supported state deputy João Coser (PT) nor Bolsonaro-backed state deputy Capitão Assumção (PL) are leading.
The Paraná Pesquisas survey (May 22) shows current mayor Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) leading with 47.1%, followed by João Coser (17%) and Capitão Assumção (7.1%).
This political landscape indicates a competitive environment between Bolsonaro and Lula's camps, with each side holding significant support in various regions. The coming months will be crucial as pre-candidates navigate voter sentiments and refine their strategies leading up to the elections.
